Estimating and decision making for Design projects and Cognitive Bias of Hyperbolic Discounting

نویسنده

  • Neha Srivastava
چکیده

Human beings are conditioned and designed by society to relate high degree of uncertainty to future. Several behavioral studies have demonstrated that the phenomenon of attaching hazard rate to future events is consistent across habits related to food, drugs, exercising, impulsive shopping and saving money. A person, when planning for long term would think about health and monetary benefits arising out of all of these. But when faced with a choice would prefer to procrastinate. There is sufficient evidence for the fact that humans and animals tend to be more impatient when dealing with reward nearer in time than one due further in future. This phenomenon is called as Hyperbolic Discounting. This paper explores the hyperbolic discounting as a cognitive bias.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Mitigating Evidentiary Bias in Planning and Policy-Making; Comment on “Reflective Practice: How the World Bank Explored Its Own Biases?”

The field of cognitive psychology has increasingly provided scientific insights to explore how humans are subject to unconscious sources of evidentiary bias, leading to errors that can affect judgement and decision-making. Increasingly these insights are being applied outside the realm of individual decision-making to the collective arena of policy-making as well. A recent editorial in this jou...

متن کامل

World Experiences of Inter-basin Water Transfer Projects and the Necessity of Developing Decision Making Criteria in Iran

When categorizing water management alternatives, to meet water needs, water transfer is seen as an option that tends to supply more water. Most developing countries where limited water resources are available with high spatiotemporal dispersion, favor this option. The numbers of such projects that have been proposed, implemented, and operated in recent years evidence the desirability of this al...

متن کامل

Intertemporal Decision-Making: Economic and Cognitive Perspectives

Intertemporal decision-making is a fundamental issue in the study of individual behavior. In this paper I review the economic approach to intertemporal decision-making by considering the behavioral assumptions that are implied by the Exponential and the Hyperbolic discounting models. Both approaches focus on how people evaluate utility ‡ows over time. However, there is evidence showing that the...

متن کامل

IDENTIFICATION OF REASONS FOR CLAIMS OF CONTRACTORS IN D-B-B CONTRACTS AND EVALUATION BY MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION-MAKING MODELS (AHP)

The increasing complexity of construction, along with its rapid development, as well as ambiguities and gaps in the legal terms governing constructions, lack of trust in the parties regarding obligations and regulations are the main reasons of disagreements in domestic projects. These disagreements are inevitable even in contracts which are set correctly. Disagreements are costly, time-consumin...

متن کامل

Discounting models for long-term decision making

This paper investigates alternative approaches to constant rate discounting for calculation of Net Present Value (NPV) in life cycle cost models that are used for engineering trade studies. Alternative approaches are necessary to meet the challenge of equitable intergenerational resource allocation for projects like radioactive waste disposal that have a life cycle that impacts future generatio...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2011